BUFFY - Winona Costin rode Ronstar to victory for Portelli in the opening race at Rosehill on Saturday and will ride Buffy for the stable in the Club Lithgow Rising Prince Class 2 Handicap (1300m) however results from Kembla on Saturday are where we go for guidance as to Buffy’s chances. After a win and four placings from her first six career starts, on paper Buffy turned in the worst run of her career to date when a three-length second at Kembla last start, but the subsequent form from the race tells us the run wasn’t as bad as it looks. The third placegetter Phabini was an impressive winner at Kembla yesterday whilst the fourth horse Black Chilli made it two wins in four days earlier in the day. Add to the Kembla results the fact the winner Catmosphere ran second in a race at Warwick Farm Wednesday and we have a race that is developing into a significant form reference. Back to a country class two on Sunday, Buffy is the horse to beat.
IMPREGNABLE - Once again. a 4.5kg weight differential over Don’tbabylon is the significant factor in declaring the Toby Edmonds-trained Impregnable the second special of the day in the Gosels Bus Service Open Handicap (1200m). Although missing a place in his three runs this time and being defeated a combined total of 22-lengths, Impregnable’s form is better than it looks and the son of I Am Invincible does drop significantly in class on Sunday. After blowing the start at Toowoomba resuming and striking a heavy track at Doomben two runs back, Impregnable found 1400m and barrier 14 beyond him in a strong class six plate at the Gold Coast last start. A winner of successive races at Doomben last preparation, Impregnable looks well placed to return to the winner’s list.
GREY EMINENCE - Latham starts the day riding Grey Eminence for David Payne in the ISO Plugs and Sockets Benchmark 65 Handicap (2400m) and although a three-year-old taking on older horses the son of Reliable Man is the horse in the race with some upside. A last start Wyong maiden winner over 2100m at his fourth career start, Grey Eminence takes on horses who are past their best with the possible exception of the import from the Hayes and Dabernig stable, Pioneertown who was twice a winner in England before coming to Australia but was beaten over 15-lengths at his first Australian start at Cranbourne. Grey Eminence finished his race off at Wyong in a manner that suggests the 2400m won’t be an issue and should be too good for his rivals.
BLACK CHILLI - The Gwenda Markwell-trained Black Chilli was our bet of the day ay Kembla on Tuesday, duly saluting and I see no reason not to be on him again four days later. Tye Angland was the winning jockey when Black Chilli overcame a wide run in transit to win a Class One handicap at Kembla on May 29 with Latham taking over on Saturday. Black Chilli jumps substantially in grade taking on class four company in the Diginet Sitara Provincial Class 4 Handicap (1000m) however a 3.5kg weight drop and barrier one goes along to way to off-setting the class rise. The short back-up is the obvious query but happy to back the trainer’s judgement on that count and Black Chilli will be carrying some of Tuesday’s winnings on Saturday.
TRENT - To the detriment of my pocket I took on Trent at Port Macquarie last start when the three-year-old was having his first start NSW start however he will carry my cash in the Lauders Real Estate Wingham Class 1 and Maiden Showcase Plate (1600m). Trained in Victoria by Henry Dwyer, Trent worked home solidly at his first run for Matthew McCudden to win over what looked an unsuitable 1200m first-up. Trent was always going to win races in country NSW after finishing the closest of seconds in a race at Sandown Lakeside on November 22 coming from well back over 1400m before starting a $3.50 favourite when unplaced over 1800m hence my reasoning for considering 1200m too short. Wrong again, Trent worked home solidly to claim a narrow victory at Port Macquarie and in my opinion can only improve as the distance gets longer. If that’s the case Trent will take a power of beating on Friday.